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Budget 2025

Annex 2: 
Capital budgeting framework

Building Canada's Productive Capacity

As announced on October 6, 2025, the government is adopting a Capital Budgeting Framework—a new way of budgeting that makes capital investment a national priority. This framework helps distinguish day-to-day operational spending from capital investment (broadly defined as spending that supports capital formation), allowing the government to identify and prioritise initiatives that deliver long-term economic returns. The framework also increases transparency, allowing Canadians to better understand what funds services today, and what builds future prosperity.

An Example of Capital Investment: Expanding Airport Cargo Capacity

Cargo capacity at airports is essential for strengthening supply-chain links for communities and businesses. Each year, operating expenses cover recurring costs such as cargo handlers, ground support, maintenance personnel, fuel costs and utilities to keep these cargo services running. This operating spending is necessary for efficient and reliable service, but it does not contribute directly to capital formation.

On the other hand, expanding cargo capacity is a capital investment. Building warehouses, upgrading cold-chain facilities, and strengthening taxiways for freighters create long-lived assets that transport goods more efficiently. These upgrades reduce turnaround times and move more freight per hour—getting goods to businesses faster and improving service reliability for communities. The benefits compound year after year because the new assets work every day, building value. This enhances productivity and business investment.

This is why a capital budgeting framework is important. It distinguishes day-to-day operating dollars from the dollars that build long-lived assets, allowing the government to prioritise the latter and help deliver lasting benefits to Canadians.

Capital investments are the building blocks to economic growth. Capital investments boost Canada's productivity, helping deliver more and better paying jobs, supporting rising living standards for all Canadians over the long term. While U.S. business investment has grown steadily, Canada's has remained close to its 2015 levels (Chart A2.1). Canada's growth has been held back by weak productivity associated with low investment in business capital— particularly in machinery, equipment, and intangible assets like intellectual property (Chart A2.2). In a global economy increasingly shaped by shifting trade dynamics and rapid adoption of artificial intelligence, this gap weighs on competitiveness and resilience. To reverse this trend, Canada requires a step change in capital investment, with renewed commitment from both the public and private sectors to make growth-enhancing capital investment a national priority. The Capital Budgeting Framework ensures that growth and productivity are core elements of the fiscal planning architecture across the federal government.

Chart A2.1
Real Non-Residential Business Investment Since 2000, Canada and U.S., 2000Q1-2025Q2
Chart A2.1: Real Non-Residential Business Investment Since 2000, Canada and U.S., 2000Q1-2025Q2

Sources: Statistics Canada; Bureau of Economic Analysis; Department of Finance Canada calculations

Text version
Chart A2.2
Non-Residential Investment as a Share of GDP, Canada and U.S., 2023
Chart A2.2: Non-Residential Investment as a Share of GDP, Canada and U.S., 2023

Sources: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development; Department of Finance Canada calculations.

Text version

The Capital Budgeting Framework builds on established public financial management practices used in advanced economies and adapts them to a made-in-Canada approach. As an example, the United Kingdom separates capital spending (investment in long-lived assets) from current spending for planning, reporting, and control, consistent with their national macroeconomic accounts. Singapore similarly distinguishes operating from "development" expenditures, defined as long-term investments that advance economic development and welfare. In Singapore, the government may borrow only to finance "nationally significant" capital investments, while other spending must generally be covered by revenues. The objective is fiscal sustainability and intergenerational fairness, so that debt incurred today is tied to assets that benefit future generations.

Table A2.1 compares capital budgeting approaches in the United Kingdom, Singapore, Canadian provinces, and the Canadian federal government.

Table A2.1
Capital Frameworks Comparison

 

United Kingdom 

Singapore 

Canada Provinces 

Canada Federal (Budget 2025) 

Operating/capital split presented in budgets?  

Yes 

Yes 

Partial1 

Yes 

Some capital excluded from jurisdiction-specific deficit constraint?  

Yes 

Yes 

Yes2 

Yes 

by type: 

Capital amortisation  

No 

No 

No 

Yes 

Acquisition of tangible capital assets3 

Yes4 

Some5

N/A6 

N/A7 

Acquisition of intangible capital assets3 

Yes4 

No 

N/A8 

N/A7

Capital transfers to sub-levels of government  

Yes 

No 

No9

Yes 

Capital transfers to private sector  

Yes 

No 

No9 

Yes 

Corporate income tax credits  

No 

No 

No 

Yes 

1 Spending in the main budget tables is generally not split between operating and capital, and the key fiscal metrics are using the same accounting basis for reporting actual financial results under the Canadian public sector accounting standards. However, provinces also present a capital or infrastructure plan either as part of their main budget document or separately.

2 Not all provinces have an explicit deficit constraint.

3 For comparison purposes, refers only to capital assets to be amortised over their useful lives under each jurisdiction's accounting practices.  

4 The United Kingdom budget explicitly presents in its main budget tables the net acquisition of capital (i.e., excluding amortisation) as part of its "public sector net investment" fiscal metric, which is excluded from its stability (current budget) rule.

5 In Singapore, only a small fraction of capital spending is excluded from the country's "balanced budget over each term of government" constraint. It is limited to "nationally significant" projects (≥ S$4 billion, ≥ 50-year life, productivity or sustainability benefits, government-owned) and subject to a hard S$90 billion cap. The budget impact from these projects is from amortising the assets over their useful life after construction.

6 Canadian provinces generally present amounts associated with the acquisition of tangible capital assets in their capital or infrastructure plan, but not in the main budget tables. In alignment with Canadian public sector accounting standards, amortisation expense, rather than acquisition cost is included in the provinces' key budgetary balance metrics.

7 Considered in the federal Capital Budgeting Framework through capital amortisation only.

8 Some provinces include intangible capital assets in their capital or infrastructure plans.

9 Some provinces do present capital transfers to municipalities and the private sector as part of their capital or infrastructure plans. These transfers are included in the budgetary balance, reflecting the same accounting principles for reporting actual financial results, and, when applicable, are subject to the deficit constraint.  

Definition and Categories

The Capital Budgeting Framework establishes a consistent way to classify spending, including tax expenditures, that contributes to capital formation—referred to here as capital investment—while maintaining pre-existing categories used in budgets and financial reports.

Capital investments, for the purposes of the framework, are defined broadly as any government expenditures or tax incentives that contribute to public or private sector capital formation, held directly on the government's balance sheet or on that of a private sector entity, Indigenous community or another level of government. Within this broad definition, the focus is on capital investments that meet the following criteria:

  • Conditionality – whether the funding recipient is required to invest in capital formation to receive the benefit.
  • Clear linkage – whether the spending encourages or enables capital investment in identifiable sectors or projects.

Applying this definition, federal government spending classified as capital investment is categorised as follows:

  • Capital transfers  transfers to other levels of government and organisations expressly intended for the recipient to invest in infrastructure or a productive asset.
    • Transfer payments, and other forms of support, are classified as capital investments when the recipient (e.g., a province or territory, an Indigenous community, an arms-length or private organisation) is required to use the funds to build, acquire, or better capital assets, with reporting to the federal government for monitoring. Unrestricted transfers count towards the day-to-day operating budget. For Indigenous infrastructure, including transfers under modern treaties, self-government, new fiscal relationships, and similar arrangements, the conditionality criterion is applied in a manner consistent with self-determination.
  • Capital-focused tax incentives – tax expenditures intended to incentivise new capital formation.
    • Tax expenditures (predominantly corporate income-tax related) are classified as capital investments when the measure directly incentivises investment in capital rather than ongoing operations.
  • Amortisation of federal capital assets – expenses recorded to spread the cost of capital assets owned or controlled by the federal government over their useful lives.
    • This is aligned with existing reporting of amortisation of federal capital assets in the Public Accounts of Canada, which is based on Canadian public sector accounting standards.
    • Examples of federal capital assets include buildings, machinery and equipment, aircraft, etc.
  • Private sector research and development – direct funding, or tax incentives, for research and development (R&D) activities that enable commercialisation or scale-up and raise future productive capacity.
    • Private sector R&D is emphasised given its closer link to commercialisation and production, and more direct tie to asset formation.
  • Support to unlock large-scale private sector capital investment – contractual agreements with proponents involving exceptional, significant operating subsidies designed to unlock incremental large-scale private capital investments.
    • Although these transfers to private sector entities are expressly intended to support operating costs, they are delivered under a contractual agreement requiring the recipient to make prescribed capital investments and are therefore classified as capital investment under the framework.
  • Measures to grow the housing stock – measures that accelerate new housing supply.
    • Initiatives that contribute to private sector capital formation, such as building new homes, as well as those that lift construction productivity through significant at-scale programs.

Spending not classified as capital investment is considered day-to-day operating spending. This includes major government expenditures like transfers to persons, health and social transfers, and the costs of running government operations and services, including salaries and benefits. This spending remains essential for service delivery and accounts for the bulk of government spending.

Consistent with the presentation of the federal budget, under the Capital Budgeting Framework projected costs of capital investments are determined on a full accrual basis of accounting. Using a consistent basis of accounting makes it easier to understand how changes in capital investments impact the budgetary balance, and promotes comparability.

Projected fiscal costs of capital investments over the budget horizon are generally similar on cash and accrual bases for a given year, except for mostly temporary timing differences for federal capital assets, loans and guarantees. For example, under accrual accounting, the cost (cash basis) of acquiring federal land, buildings, equipment and other capital property, like bridges is capitalised, recorded as an asset and, except for land, amortised to expense (accrual basis) over the useful life of the capital property. For loans, cash impacts reflect the disbursement and repayment of loans, whereas accrual costs reflect allowances recorded to reflect concessionary terms and collectability and risk of loss.

On a cash basis, the total fiscal cost of capital investments included in Budget 2025 would be about $450.6 billion over five years.

Detailed Outlook for Capital Investments

Table A2.2 provides further detail on projections for major capital investments, organised by the framework's six categories. Historical information is provided in Table A2.3. Unless otherwise specified, these projections are based on Department of Finance estimates. In the coming months, the Department will work with the Treasury Board Secretariat and participating organisations to develop an ongoing reporting approach for capital investments, leveraging existing sources wherever possible.

Capital investments over the budget horizon account for a larger share of spending than during the previous 20 years. With measures in the budget, annual capital investment will also nearly double from $32.2 billion in 2024-25 to $59.6 billion in 2029-30 (Chart A2.3).

Chart A2.3
Capital Investment Expenses, Historical and Projected
Chart A2.3: Capital Investment Expenses, Historical and Projected

Source: Department of Finance Canada. For years prior to 2024-25, ongoing capital investments and identifiable precursor programs are included.

Text version
Table A2.2
Capital Investment Details
Millions of dollars
Projection
2024-2025 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-2030
Capital transfers 16,395 20,578 26,051 27,989 26,167 24,388
Baseline 16,372 19,287 19,579 19,720 18,642 16,896
Canada Community-Building Fund 2,368 2,467 2,467 2,566 2,566 2,668
Investing in Canada Infrastructure Program 2,295 2,751 3,164 4,187 4,160 3,250
Other provincial, territorial, and municipal infrastructure investments 3,272 3,291 4,383 5,294 5,938 5,973
Indigenous Community Infrastructure 4,058 4,634 3,617 3,110 2,006 1,739
Canada Foundation for Innovation 567 552 623 674 487 487
Strategic Innovation Fund 1,703 2,708 2,941 2,527 2,109 1,429
Other capital transfers available to the private sector 2,109 2,885 2,384 1,363 1,376 1,351
Since FES 2024 23 915 1,070 1,527 1,506 1,028
Co-Development Funding for High-Speed Rail 151 597 697 1,025 966 681
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 -79 -53 -53 -53 -53
Less: Funds Sourced From Existing Departmental Resources
-128 0 0 0 0 0
Other 0 397 426 556 594 401
In Budget 2025 0 376 5,403 6,742 6,019 6,464
Generational Infrastructure Investments (Sec. 1.2) 0 0 4,750 5,050 5,450 4,850
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 0 -2,530 -2,788 -2,853 -2,903
Protecting Workers and Transforming Canada's Strategic Industries - Equipping Companies for Growth and Diversification (Sec. 2.1) 0 459 1,036 1,778 1,485 1,238
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 -1,000 -250 -250 -250 -250
A New Trade Infrastructure Strategy (Sec. 2.2) 0 0 650 1,100 1,300 950
Strengthening First Nations Infrastructure Financing and Access to Clean Water (Sec. 3.1) 0 0 749 749 749 0
Rebuilding, Rearming, and Reinvesting in the Canadian Armed Forces (Sec. 4.1) 0 861 825 1,075 1,103 865
Other 0 56 172 27 -966 1,714
Capital-focused tax incentives 1,271 6,328 9,250 9,270 10,901 10,649
Baseline 1,271 6,199 8,912 8,935 10,515 10,228
Atlantic investment tax credit 150 175 175 185 195 200
Clean Economy investment tax credits 22 1,585 3,836 5,444 7,231 6,584
Film and video tax credits 733 1,135 1,140 1,190 1,240 1,285
Flow-through share deductions and related tax credits 579 578 530 160 268 268
Accelerated investment incentive and other accelerated capital cost allowance measures -213 2,726 3,231 1,956 1,581 1,891
Since FES 2024 0 80 55 -25 0 0
Extending the Mineral Exploration Tax Credit 0 80 55 -25 0 0
In Budget 2025 0 49 283 360 386 421
Productivity Super-Deduction (Sec. 1.2) 0 45 280 360 385 420
Other 0 4 3 0 1 1
Amortization of federal capital 6,044 6,628 7,348 8,455 10,864 12,512
Baseline 6,086 6,642 7,295 8,228 10,290 11,377
Capital amortization expenses 6,086 6,642 7,295 8,228 10,290 11,377
Since FES 2024 -43 -29 -2 -31 9 24
Construction of River-class Destroyers 0 0 0 0 8 9
Less: Funds Sourced From Existing Departmental Resources
-45 -48 -22 -40 -14 -25
Future Fighter Capability Project 2 10 30 43 92 197
Less: Funds Sourced From Existing Departmental Resources
0 0 -12 -41 -94 -182
Air Fleet Renewal and Modernisation 0 0 0 3 10 16
Less: Funds Sourced From Existing Departmental Resources and Other Revenue
0 0 0 0 0 0
Other 1 10 2 5 8 9
In Budget 2025 0 15 55 258 564 1,111
Seizing the Full Potential of Artificial Intelligence (Sec. 1.2) 0 4 5 181 673 63
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 -4 -5 -181 -610 0
Rebuilding, Rearming, and Reinvesting in the Canadian Armed Forces (Sec. 4.1) 0 12 62 216 405 972
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 0 -30 -61 -92 -122
Strengthening Canada's Presence: Operations REASSURANCE and AMARNA (Sec. 4.1) 0 2 14 27 40 40
Less: Funds Sourced From Existing Departmental Resources
0 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2
Strengthening Federal Law Enforcement (Sec. 4.2) 0 0 6 15 26 33
Modernising the Meteorological Service of Canada (Sec. 4.2) 0 0 0 57 115 116
Other 0 1 4 5 9 12
Private sector research and development 4,896 5,478 5,772 5,901 6,057 6,222
Baseline 4,896 5,475 5,702 5,816 5,992 6,152
Industrial Research Assistance Program 436 525 507 476 447 397
Scientific Research and Experimental Development tax incentives 4,460 4,950 5,195 5,340 5,545 5,755
In Budget 2025 0 3 70 85 65 70
Enhancing the Scientific Research and Experimental Development Tax Incentives (Sec. 1.2) 0 3 70 85 65 70
Support to unlock large-scale private sector capital investment 73 504 1,378 2,370 2,843 3,217
Baseline 73 504 1,378 2,370 2,843 3,217
Support for battery manufacturing 73 504 1,378 2,370 2,843 3,217
Measures to grow the housing stock 3,527 5,835 7,390 4,633 3,693 3,355
Baseline 3,527 5,062 5,633 3,001 2,344 2,411
Affordable Housing Fund 922 1,182 1,664 464 -132 33
Housing Accelerator Fund 1,075 1,085 1,082 103 0 0
Apartment Construction Loan Program 179 417 573 515 523 29
Indigenous Housing 1,138 1,811 1,595 1,049 1,019 1,082
Tax measures 26 52 165 365 615 845
Other programs 186 515 553 504 319 421
Since FES 2024 0 -5 -6 -6 -4 -1
Topping Up the Affordable Housing Fund 0 0 0 0 3 6
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 -5 -6 -6 -7 -7
In Budget 2025 0 778 1,763 1,638 1,353 946
Launching Build Canada Homes (Sec. 3.1) 0 898 1,880 1,755 1,470 1,062
Less: Funds Previously Provisioned in the Fiscal Framework
0 -120 -118 -117 -117 -116
Total - Baseline 32,225 43,170 48,500 48,070 50,627 50,280
Total - Since FES 2024 -20 962 1,117 1,465 1,512 1,051
Total - In Budget 2025 0 1,221 7,573 9,083 8,387 9,011
Less: Comprehensive Expenditure Review
0 0 -532 -606 -876 -720
Total capital investments 32,205 45,352 56,658 58,012 59,650 59,622
Total capital investments (cash basis) 51,574 76,792 92,343 93,314 94,640 93,497

Notes: Numbers may not add due to rounding. Department of Finance estimates, based on information received from other government departments.

1 Fiscal cost includes transfer payments and an estimate of forgone corporate income tax revenue.

2 Fiscal cost includes an estimate of forgone personal income tax revenue.

3 Fiscal cost includes an estimate of forgone corporate income tax revenue.

Historical Information

Table A2.3 includes a backward-looking application of the Capital Budgeting Framework to the past twenty years. This history traces the fiscal cost of the programs identified as baseline capital investments in Table A2.2 and their readily identifiable precursors. For example, while the Scientific Research and Experimental Development (SR&ED) program has supported private sector research and development for decades, other capital investment programs are newer, such as the Strategic Innovation Fund which incorporated several legacy programs and has now been replaced by the Strategic Response Fund. In these cases, Table A2.3 includes both current and predecessor programs.

Table A2.3
Historical Capital Investments
Millions of dollars
  Capital transfers Capital-focused tax incentives Amortisation of federal capital Private sector research and development Measures to grow the housing stock Total
2005-
2006
1,509 1,167 3,904 2,720 9,300
2006-
2007
1,691 1,118 3,807 2,825 9,441
2007-
2008
2,090 1,295 3,954 3,305 10,644
2008-
2009
2,448 816 4,176 3,290 10,730
2009-
2010
3,856 686 4,418 3,155 12,115
2010-
2011
3,848 905 4,756 3,068 12,577
2011-
2012
4,291 865 4,859 3,144 13,159
2012-
2013
4,484 890 5,184 3,319 13,877
2013-
2014
4,079 840 4,865 3,343 13,127
2014-
2015
3,609 755 5,090 2,606 12,060
2015-
2016
3,682 810 5,049 2,676 12,217
2016-
2017
3,740 825 5,168 2,725 293 12,751
2017-
2018
4,424 1,315 5,261 2,846 358 14,204
2018-
2019
9,703 1,030 5,643 2,836 194 19,406
2019-
2020
8,433 5,490 5,790 3,271 574 23,559
2020-
2021
10,602 4,315 5,969 3,306 1,659 25,852
2021-
2022
10,691 3,905 5,514 3,846 2,323 26,280
2022-
2023
12,516 4,130 5,644 4,206 1,899 28,395
2023-
2024
13,207 3,575 5,633 4,256 4,008 30,679
Note: Historical capital investments are actual expenses for ongoing capital investments and their readily identifiable precursors. For those tax expenditures that are not considered expenses for the purposes of the Public Accounts of Canada, historical capital investments are the Department of Finance's most recent estimate of their fiscal cost.

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